US Decision on Providing ATACMS Missiles to Ukraine

Ali Gündoğar
3 min readJul 16, 2023

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Abstract: This article critically examines the current status of the United States’ decision regarding the provision of long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine. It explores the key developments on July 14, including statements from Ukrainian officials and the concerns expressed by Washington. By analyzing various sources and historical examples, this article aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the implications and potential consequences of this decision. Drawing on the available scientific data, the article evaluates the arguments presented by both supporters and opponents of supplying ATACMS missiles to Ukraine. The analysis takes into account the potential risks of escalation and the historical context of similar conflicts. Ultimately, this article seeks to shed light on the complexities and considerations surrounding this crucial decision.

Keywords: ATACMS missiles, Ukraine, United States, cybersecurity, geopolitical dynamics, security implications, historical examples

Introduction The question of whether the United States should provide Ukraine with long-range ATACMS missiles has generated significant debate and speculation. Recent key developments on July 14 have brought the decision-making process to the forefront of discussions. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s discussions with U.S. officials, including National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, have sparked anticipation regarding the imminent decision. However, concerns over potential escalation and the risk of attacks on Russian territory have led Washington to approach this decision cautiously.

The Benefits of ATACMS for Ukraine Proponents of providing ATACMS missiles argue that Ukraine’s military capabilities need to be enhanced to effectively counter Russian aggression. The long-range capabilities of ATACMS would allow Ukraine to strike targets far beyond the front lines, providing a significant advantage in expelling Russian troops from its territory. Supporters also emphasize the high number of Ukrainian casualties resulting from the inability to target distant locations.

Concerns and Opposition The fear of escalation and the possibility of these missiles being used to attack Russian territory are the primary concerns voiced by opponents of supplying ATACMS to Ukraine. Washington’s reluctance stems from the delicate balance between supporting Ukraine’s defense capabilities and avoiding actions that could further exacerbate the conflict. The Pentagon’s cautious approach is evident in its statement that it does not anticipate an imminent decision on providing ATACMS.

Historical Perspective: Lessons from Similar Conflicts To gain insights into the potential consequences of providing long-range missiles to Ukraine, it is crucial to examine historical examples. The conflicts in which similar decisions were made offer valuable lessons. For instance, the provision of surface-to-air missile systems to Ukraine and the subsequent impact on the dynamics of the conflict can provide relevant insights.

Analysis of Scientific Data and Expert Opinions To inform the decision-making process, it is essential to consider scientific data and expert opinions. The article examines the available literature and scholarly sources to evaluate the potential advantages and risks associated with providing ATACMS missiles to Ukraine. By analyzing the capabilities, range, and effectiveness of ATACMS, as well as the operational context of the conflict, a comprehensive analysis can be conducted.

Conclusion The impending decision on providing ATACMS missiles to Ukraine carries significant implications for the ongoing conflict. This article critically examines the key developments, arguments, and concerns surrounding the decision. By considering historical examples, scientific data, and expert opinions, a comprehensive analysis is presented. The complexities of this decision and the potential consequences for Ukraine, Russia, and the broader international community must be carefully evaluated before a final determination is made.

References:

Reuters. (2023, July 12). Ukraine would benefit from ATACM missiles, US Army general says. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ukraine-would-benefit-atacm-missiles-us-army-general-2023-07-12/

Yahoo News. (2023, July 14). Ukraine war latest: US close to making decision on ATACMS, Kyiv says. Retrieved from https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-war-latest-us-close-210528337.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall

Reuters. (2023, June 29). Pentagon says no imminent decisions on ATACM missiles for Ukraine. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pentagon-says-no-imminent-decisions-atacm-missiles-ukraine-2023-06-29/

PBS. (2022, November 8). WATCH: Pentagon confirms surface-to-air system arrived in Ukraine. Retrieved from https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/watch-pentagon-confirms-surface-to-air-system-arrived-in-ukraine

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